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Some stars will lose luster if teams pack it in
Updated: August 21, 2010, 9:11 AM
It's the do-or-die point for fantasy teams on the playoff bubble, as most leagues are set
to play their final regular-season games this week. Of course, there are still four weeks left
in the NFL regular season, which means plenty of agonizing decisions will need to be made over
the next month.
So far in the NFL, just four teams had been eliminated from playoff contention heading into
Thursday night's game between Buffalo and the New York Jets. They are Cleveland, Detroit, St. Louis and
Tampa Bay. The useful fantasy players on those four teams are limited to Lions receiver Calvin
Johnson and running back Kevin Smith and Rams running back Steven Jackson, so they can
continue to be used with no worries.
The tougher decisions come when deciding what to do with players on teams who begin to
solidify their playoff spots, and thus sit starters. Luckily this year, such a problem should
not present itself until much later in the regular season. There are 28 teams still in playoff
contention, as well as seeding races in both conferences.
That's especially true in the NFC, where 11-0 New Orleans has to worry about losing the No.
1 seed to 10-1 Minnesota. That's great news for Drew Brees (3,117 yards, 27 touchdowns)
owners, since it means the Saints will keep their star quarterback in the lineup late into the
season. The only uncertainty when it comes to Brees is guessing which receiver he'll throw to
on a weekly basis.
If Minnesota can't catch New Orleans, Adrian Peterson owners should definitely take notice.
Peterson gets banged up from time to time and would be a prime candidate to take a week off to
get ready for the playoffs. With the first snap he takes Sunday, Brett Favre will set the NFL
record for consecutive games played by a non-kicker at 283, so it's safe to say he won't be
coming out of the lineup.
On the AFC side, the only team that should be considered a worry for sitting players soon
is Indianapolis. The Colts own a three-game lead in the race for the conference's No. 1 seed.
Like the Saints, though, they are 11-0 and also chasing history. Fantasy owners should hope
that chase for an unbeaten record continues and coach Jim Caldwell decides to leave Peyton
Manning (3,415 yards, 24 TDs) in the lineup. Of course, Manning might play only a half and
still put up better numbers than other starting quarterbacks.
The other two teams with at least a two-game lead in their divisions are Arizona (7-4) and
Cincinnati (8-3). With both teams having veteran quarterbacks in Kurt Warner and Carson
Palmer, watch out for them to take a break, especially in Warner's case since he's working
back from a concussion.
Chip shots
If you're desperate for depth at running back, it's worth noting the Browns' Jamal
Lewis was placed on injured reserve Wednesday. He said earlier this season that 2009 would be
his last. What veteran fantasy player hasn't owned Lewis at some point during his decade-long
career? Chris Jennings and Jerome Harrison will share rushing duties for the Browns.
Eagles wide receiver DeSean Jackson doesn't think he'll play Sunday after suffering
a concussion last week against Washington. Jackson has been the Eagles' top wideout this year.
Consider rookie Jeremy Maclin a stronger play this week.
In a surprising move, the Seattle Seahawks are expected to start Julius Jones at
running back over Justin Forsett. Forsett has rushed for 262 yards and four touchdowns in the
past three weeks while Jones has been injured with a bruised lung. Considering Jones has
outgained Forsett by just 7 more yards (392-385) this season on 40 more carries (107-67) the
move doesn't make a lot of sense.
The running back situation in Atlanta is a mess. Michael Turner missed practice
Wednesday with a high ankle sprain and is questionable for Sunday. Even if Turner does play,
there's no guarantee he'll be 100 percent. He was rushed back into the lineup last week
against Tampa Bay and was reinjured. This raises the question: Who would get the majority of
snaps if Turner can't play, Jason Snelling or Jerious Norwood?
Pierre Thomas of the Saints has been limited in practice because of a wrist injury.
Given the Saints' depth on offense, they have the luxury of being able to rest Thomas if he's
not 100 percent healthy.
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Entertainment Calendar
Best bets:
- Thu 2/9: Umphrey's McGee
- Thu 2/9: Don Felder -- An Evening at the Hotel California
- Fri 2/10: Brian Regan
- Fri 2/10: Don Felder -- An Evening at the Hotel California
- Sat 2/11: Rita Coolidge
- Sat 2/11: Sha Na Na
- Sat 2/11: Chris Webby
- Sat 2/11: Buffalo Philharmonic Orchestra: Tchaikovsky Piano Concerto
- Sat 2/11: Don Felder -- An Evening at the Hotel California
- Sun 2/12: Buffalo Philharmonic Orchestra: Tchaikovsky Piano Concerto
- Sun 2/12: Bill Medley
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