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Homeownership may fall

Published:December 25, 2009, 5:46 AM

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Updated: August 21, 2010, 3:46 AM

The rate of homeownership in the United States might fall in coming years as households rebuild equity wiped out by the worst slump since the Great Depression, according to a study by economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

“The official homeownership rate will likely experience significant downward pressure in the coming years,” Andrew Haughwout, Richard Peach and Joseph Tracy wrote in a paper posted on the bank’s Web site. Owners whose mortgages exceed the properties’ market value “very likely will convert officially to renters,” assuming prices don’t climb in the next several years, they said.

U. S. homes have lost about $5.9 trillion in value since the market’s peak in March 2006 as mounting foreclosures and the recession weighed on prices, according to Zillow.com.

The homeownership rate peaked at 69 percent in 2006 and has since dropped to 67.3 percent, a level not seen since 2000, the authors wrote.

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